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Biden leads in Arizona as suburban women abandon Trump

Biden leads in Arizona as suburban women abandon Trump

Call it their fail-safe option.

If Joe Biden were to lose a critical Midwest battleground like Michigan or Wisconsin, Democrats are counting on Arizona to bail him out, acting as a potential replacement state with enough electoral power to prevent President Donald Trump’s re-election.

After Trump carried this emerging swing state by just over 91,000 votes four years ago, some Republicans are now already bracing for a defeat that could “cut deeply down the ballot,” as one GOP aide in state government put it.

With early voting now underway and Democrats consistently tracking Biden with a 3-to-4 point lead, the Trump campaign is planning additional visits here from the ticket as soon as this week, attempting to salvage a reliably red bastion as suburban women are turning away from the GOP in droves.

“It’s fairly close. If anybody has a slight polling advantage it would be Biden,” said Constantin Querard, a conservative political consultant in Phoenix, “but the Trump campaign is much stronger on the ground.”

While the Trump operation has maintained a vigorous door-knocking presence throughout most of the pandemic, a battery of Democratic groups have been working online to mobilize the two constituencies most crucial to their success: Latinos — which now make up 24 percent of eligible voters here — and moderate Republican women.

Bettina Nava, a former state director for Sen. John McCain, falls into both groups. The lifelong Republican welled up in tears during a recent zoom call with the Arizona Democratic Party as she spoke about her decision to endorse Biden due to Trump’s divisiveness.

“I’m following my conscience,” she said. “Under a Biden-Harris ticket, we can return to those civil conversations about the great debates of our time. That’s what we need to be doing. You notice I didn’t say agreement over

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Dominant defense leads Ravens to 27-3 win over Bengals

Dominant defense leads Ravens to 27-3 win over Bengals

BALTIMORE — The Ravens’ matchup Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals was billed as a showdown between Heisman Trophy winners Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow.

It became a showcase for the Ravens defense.

In a 27-3 win at M&T Bank Stadium, the Ravens (4-1) sacked Burrow seven times — a season high for the defense — held the Bengals (1-3-1) to 205 yards and just 3.2 yards per play and scored their second defensive touchdown of the season.

It was the stingiest game this season for the Ravens, who have allowed more than 343 yards in just one game this year. With an interception by Marcus Peters and fumble recovery for a touchdown, they have now forced a turnover in 18 straight games, the NFL’s longest active streak.

If Burrow, Cincinnati’s No. 1 overall pick, looked like a rookie getting his first taste of Ravens defensive coordinator Don “Wink” Martindale’s exotic schemes, Jackson looked like a quarterback who hadn’t had a full practice all week.

(More from sports) CBS announcer apologizes after calling Ravens QB Lamar Jackson ‘Murray’ during game vs. Bengals »

After missing Wednesday’s practice with a sore knee and Thursday’s with an illness, Jackson participated in only Friday’s walk-through session. Coach John Harbaugh said he was “good to go,” but the Ravens looked anything but for much of Sunday’s game.

He finished 19-for-37 for 180 yards, two touchdowns and an interception, though he was lucky not to have a few more picked off. He also had just two carries for 3 yards, both season lows. The Ravens scored touchdowns on two of their first three drives, the second needing just 16 yards to find the end zone, then struggled to get within striking range after the first quarter.

Wide receiver Marquise “Hollywood” Brown had six catches for 77

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Study: Closing UK schools leads to more deaths in lockdown

Study: Closing UK schools leads to more deaths in lockdown

  • A new paper has said that closing UK schools during lockdown led to more COVID-19 deaths than if they had stayed open.
  • The paper, by Professor Graeme Ackland, was published in the British Medical Journal on Wednesday and is a re-analysis of a model published by Imperial College London in March.
  • The Imperial model prompted the UK to enforce a lockdown, in line with many other countries facing outbreaks.
  • But, Ackland argues, some of its provisions were counter-productive. He claims that closings schools and universities in particular likely led to “more deaths compared with the equivalent scenario without the closures.”
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

A new scientific paper claims that the UK’s decision to close schools and universities in March as part of its lockdown strategy resulted in more COVID-19 deaths than if they stayed open.

The peer-reviewed paper, was written by Graeme Ackland, professor of computer simulation at The University of Edinburgh, was published in the British Medical Journal on Wednesday.

It is a re-analysis of a model published by Imperial College London on March 16.

The Imperial model was hugely significant. It prompted the UK government to abandon its strategy of herd immunity, and impose a series of lockdown measures, including the closure of schools. The paper warned the UK was set for 510,000 deaths in the absence of such action.

In the course of 10 simulations, Ackland said the addition of school closures to other lockdown variables increased the number of deaths.

His argument is that mitigation strategies should focus on keeping the virus from older, more vulnerable people, and not on preventing the spread in settings where most people are young.

FILE PHOTO: Parents walk their children to school on the last day before their official closure, as the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues, in West London, Britain, March 20, 2020. REUTERS/Toby Melville

Parents walk their children to school in West London on March 20, 2020.

Reuters


“Adding school and university closures to case isolation,

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