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Bank/Financial Earnings Releases Start This Week. All Eyes On Consumer Credit

Bank/Financial Earnings Releases Start This Week. All Eyes On Consumer Credit

JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) reports its Q3 ’20 financial results on Tuesday morning, October 13th, 2020, followed up by Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) also reports Wednesday morning, while Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) reports Thursday morning before the opening bell.

All in, I have 15-20 banks and financial names reporting this week, which should give bank investors a good look at credit losses, net interest margin compression, and (possibly) the first look at the guidance for 2021, although without stock buybacks, there may be no willingness to give guidance to investors.

For the Schwabs, BlackRocks (NYSE:BLK) and names like Goldman and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), we get to see how further credit market improvements over the third quarter aided bond issuance, and how the robust capital market activity aided the capital-market-sensitive returns for the big banks.

Ed Yardeni (cut and pasted from his blog) starts us off with his view of what’s expected for credit:

“Financials: Reality Check Coming. Financials has been one of the S&P 500’s worst-performing sectors this year, battered by a flat yield curve, surging loan losses, and a regulator that’s prohibiting the payment of dividends and stock buybacks. Next week, as banks’ Q3 earnings start rolling in, we’ll get a better feel for how well banks are reserved for loan losses. Many set aside billions of dollars for losses in Q2 as Covid-19 descended. Given the poor performance of bank stocks, investors may already have priced in banks’ need to continue building reserves in Q3.

The S&P 500 Financials sector’s stock price index has barely rebounded from the market’s March selloff, while the S&P 500 Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have hit new highs. Here’s the performance derby for the S&P 500 and its sectors ytd through Tuesday’s close: Information Technology

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