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Gold gains on U.S. election uncertainty, economic worries

Gold gains on U.S. election uncertainty, economic worries

An employee arranges gold bars for a photograph at the YLG Bullion International headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand.

Dario Pignatelli | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Gold firmed on Wednesday after last session’s sharp drop spurred demand for the safe-haven metal from investors worried about global economic recovery and uncertainty surrounding next month’s U.S. presidential election.

Spot gold was up 0.2% to $1,895.41 per ounce by 0947 GMT, after shedding as much as 1.9% on Tuesday in reaction to the dollar’s jump. U.S. gold futures gained 0.2% to $1,899.20.

“We’re seeing some price recovery as lower prices generated buying interest by investors since the general backdrop of gold is still positive,” said Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch. “Low interest rates, expansion of monetary policy, ballooning public debt, uncertainty regarding U.S. elections; all these factors are supportive for gold prices,” he added.

Gold is considered a hedge against inflation and currency debasement amid the unprecedented levels of global stimulus to ease the economic blow from the pandemic. But investors who trim risk assets also tend to shift into the dollar and fading hopes for a new coronavirus relief package in the United States and a pause in key COVID-19 vaccine trials boosted the U.S. currency’s appeal, limiting gold’s advance.

The dollar hit a near one-week high against major currencies.

“In the near term, the dollar could continue to rise both because of risk aversion because stimulus seems to be stuck and also because of (company) earnings forward guidance,” said DailyFx currency strategist Ilya Spivak.

Investors also kept an eye on the U.S. presidential campaign, with polls showing Democrat rival Joe Biden leading the race.

On the technical side, “bullion will need to break through $1,920 to have the chance to once again challenge the psychological threshold of $2,000,” ActivTrades chief analyst Carlo Alberto De

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PRECIOUS-Gold gains on U.S. election uncertainty, economic worries

PRECIOUS-Gold gains on U.S. election uncertainty, economic worries

* Dollar hits near one-week high

* Equities hit by halted vaccine trials, stimulus talks
impasse

* Interactive graphic tracking global spread of coronavirus:
https://graphics.reuters.com/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps/

(Recasts, adds comments, updates prices)

By Brijesh Patel

Oct 14 (Reuters) – Gold firmed on Wednesday after last
session’s sharp drop spurred demand for the safe-haven metal
from investors worried about global economic recovery and
uncertainty surrounding next month’s U.S. presidential election.

Spot gold was up 0.2% to $1,895.41 per ounce by 0947
GMT, after shedding as much as 1.9% on Tuesday in reaction to
the dollar’s jump. U.S. gold futures gained 0.2% to
$1,899.20.

“We’re seeing some price recovery as lower prices generated
buying interest by investors since the general backdrop of gold
is still positive,” said Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch.

“Low interest rates, expansion of monetary policy,
ballooning public debt, uncertainty regarding U.S. elections;
all these factors are supportive for gold prices,” he added.

Gold is considered a hedge against inflation and currency
debasement amid the unprecedented levels of global stimulus to
ease the economic blow from the pandemic.

But investors who trim risk assets also tend to shift into
the dollar and fading hopes for a new coronavirus relief package
in the United States and a pause in key COVID-19 vaccine trials
boosted the U.S. currency’s appeal, limiting gold’s advance.

The dollar hit a near one-week high against major
currencies. [USD/]

“In the near term, the dollar could continue to rise both
because of risk aversion because stimulus seems to be stuck and
also because of (company) earnings forward guidance,” said
DailyFx currency strategist Ilya Spivak.

Investors also kept an eye on the U.S. presidential
campaign, with polls showing Democrat rival Joe Biden leading
the race.

On the technical side, “bullion will need to break through
$1,920 to have the chance to

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Dollar holds gains as uncertainty weighs on market sentiment

Dollar holds gains as uncertainty weighs on market sentiment

TOKYO (Reuters) – The U.S. dollar held on to gains against most currencies on Wednesday as renewed questions about a coronavirus vaccine and lack of an agreement on additional U.S. fiscal stimulus prompted a shift to safer assets.

FILE PHOTO: U.S. dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken at the Bank of Taiwan in Taipei November 11, 2010. REUTERS/Nicky Loh

The yuan was little changed versus the dollar after the central bank’s daily fixing of the yuan’s mid-point was largely in line with estimates, suggesting authorities have paused their attempts to rein in the currency.

The euro and British pound are likely to extend declines, analysts said, as a return of restrictions on economic activity in Europe and Britain to battle a second wave of coronavirus infections unnerves investors.

Currency moves, however, are likely to be subdued as the U.S. presidential election looms on Nov. 3, but analysts said sentiment is leaning against riskier bets, which should support the dollar in the coming days.

“Many factors are pointing to more upside for the dollar,” said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief currency strategist at Mizuho Securities.

“U.S. stimulus may not come until after the election. The People’s Bank of China is halting the yuan’s rise. There’s no reason to buy the euro, and there are a lot of euro longs that need to be unwound.”

The dollar last stood at $1.1744 per euro EUR=D3, holding on to a 0.6% gain from the previous session.

The pound GBP=D3 traded at $1.2932, nursing a 1% loss from Tuesday.

Sterling also took a hit due to worries about little progress in trade talks between Britain and the European Union and the chance the Bank of England will adopt negative interest rates.

Risk appetite has weakened after Johnson & Johnson JNJ.N said on Tuesday

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Lessening Uncertainty Bolsters Case for Riskier Emerging Market ETFs

Lessening Uncertainty Bolsters Case for Riskier Emerging Market ETFs

As more investors prep for a Joe Biden presidential election victory, some are looking back into riskier and more attractively priced segments of the global markets, such as emerging market exchange traded funds.

The iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEArca: IEMG) gained 4.2% over the past month and rose 2.2% year-to-date.

Citigroup argued that the worst is over for developing-country assets, and Morgan Stanley believed political risk-related volatility will ease as there’s more clarity on the outcome of the upcoming presidential election vote, Bloomberg. According to the latest aggregator FiveThirtyEight’s election forecasting model, Biden’s chances of winning the Electoral College rose to a record 85.1%.

“A Biden victory should be good news for emerging markets if it means a multilateral approach, a more rules-based approach to international relations,” Marcelo Carvalho, head of global emerging markets research at BNP Paribas, told Bloomberg. “That should reduce policy uncertainty.”

Meanwhile, MSCI Inc.’s gauge of emerging-nation equities advanced to its highest level since January on Friday and enjoyed its best week in 18. Meanwhile, dollar-denominated government bonds, which plunged as much as 17% earlier this year, saw their first weekly gain since early September.

As investors confidence gains momentum, Eric Baurmeister, head of emerging-market debt at Morgan Stanley Investment Mgmt Inc. argued that more feel they have a better grasp of the outcome of the Nov. 3 vote.

“The thing markets hate the most is uncertainty,” Baurmeister told Bloomberg. “Risk assets have definitely responded positively to the lead of Biden and Harris increasing.”

Morgan Stanley equity strategist Jonathan Garner also pointed out that a weaker dollar and stimulus prospects under a Democratic sweep of the presidency and both houses of Congress would also booster equities.

“U.S. election risk seems to be abating,” Citigroup Global Markets strategists including Eric Ollom, Donato Guarino and Ayoti

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Will Bitcoin Make A Good Investment? Economic Uncertainty (Cryptocurrency:BTC-USD)

Will Bitcoin Make A Good Investment? Economic Uncertainty (Cryptocurrency:BTC-USD)

In our previous analysis, we discussed one primary reason that Bitcoin will make a good long-term investment as the price is likely to go up and stabilize once institutions gain SEC-regulated access. Fidelity and the NYSE-founded Bakkt are two examples of platforms that will influence the first phase of bitcoin’s broader adoption. These two platforms have not yet launched, but a new supply-and-demand dynamic will occur when institutional investors can access cryptocurrencies.

The next phase for Bitcoin stability and price support will hinge on the eroding trust in fiat currencies – both globally and also from younger generations who are digital natives with good reason to seek alternatives outside of the fiat system.

Global Unrest Sees Bitcoin as Alternative to Fiat Currency

Economists have discussed the effects of going off the gold standard during Nixon’s presidency ad nauseum, yet this has been a futile conversation in the past as there has been no alternate method of transacting other than centralized cash. Gold and precious metals are hard to transport and cannot be used to transact daily in the modern age, despite having a store of value.

Globally, bitcoin is more attractive than many foreign currencies. Venezuela, for instance, is going through a period of hyperinflation with a cup of coffee costing 2,800 bolivars up from 0.75 bolivars less than a year ago, representing an increase of 373,233%, according to Bloomberg data. Essential goods such as toilet paper and medicine are very expensive, and many Venezuelans are fleeing the country.

Bitcoin has emerged as a solid alternative to Venezuelan bolivars. Even when Bitcoin loses value from $19,000 to $3,000, it’s still outperforming the inflation of Venezuela’s currency. On the flip side, when Bitcoin rises in value from $5,000 to $11,000 in one month, it allows global populations to hold an appreciating

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