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White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows and Secretary of the Treasury Steven Mnuchin, just after negotiating stimulus two months ago.
Photographer: Alex Wong/Getty Images North America
Photographer: Alex Wong/Getty Images North America
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Today’s Agenda
Stimulus Now 43% More Dead
Like Jim Carrey in “Dumb and Dumber,” we keep thinking there’s a chance the U.S. government will pass more stimulus, even though at this point it looks like that chance is one in a million.
President Donald Trump seemed to kill all hope yesterday when he tweeted that relief talks were off, repeatedly insulting House Speaker Nancy Pelosi for good measure. Then he had a change of heart, because before long he was again calling for stimulus. This is unfortunately par for Trump’s course, write Tim O’Brien and Nir Kaissar; even before he was on steroids, his leadership on this issue has been erratic and lacking.
But one big problem for Trump and anybody else wanting more relief, writes Jonathan Bernstein, is Senate Republicans don’t really want it. They’ve been skeptical of it since way back in May, when the House passed a $3 trillion bill the Senate ignored for months. In Jonathan’s view, any hope of a new bill is less “half the Avengers” dead than “Generalissimo Francisco Franco” dead.
Terrible news if true, because the remarkable recovery the U.S. economy has enjoyed so far didn’t just happen by magic, notes Bloomberg’s editorial board. It was the handiwork of not only the Fed but also rare and extraordinary fiscal policy. Republicans played a big part in that success, and Michael R. Strain writes they need to embrace that success and build on it.
With the central bank running low on ammo and the pandemic still unchecked, an economy without fiscal relief risks catastrophe. It could get so ugly that Karl Smith thinks Democrats should cave in and give Trump the quarter of a stimulus loaf he now says he wants rather than hold out for something bigger. But the chances of Republicans agreeing even to that may be in Jim Carrey territory.
Further Stimulus Reading: The Fed does have one arrow: its muni lending program, which it should extend and cheapen. — Brian Chappatta
Small Solutions to Two Big Problems
Even without more stimulus, there will be a huge fiscal mess to clean up when all this is over. Higher taxes seem inevitable. But former IRS chief Charles Rossotti points out the U.S. government can raise hundreds of billions in revenue every year simply by doing a better job collecting taxes already owed. Better IRS funding would help, but so would simply changing some income-reporting practices and bolstering the agency’s technology.
Even before coronavirus hit, a lack of affordable housing was a big problem in this country. But one simple tweak could help with this too, writes former Freddie Mac CEO Donald Layton. Better and cheaper mortgage insurance could lower costs for homeowners and also protect the system from insurers struggling as they did in the financial crisis. A pilot program run by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac using a different approach has been successful, and their regulator should stop dragging its feet on making changes permanent.
Having Sown, Big Tech Faces Reaping
The FAANGs or whatever they’re called these days dominate our stock portfolios and many key aspects of our lives. It’s difficult to imagine how our ancestors ever made it through pandemics without the Amazon-Apple-Facebook-Google-Netflix omniblob. And yet! These massive companies are also fundamentally uncompetitive and sometimes even downright harmful to our psyches and society. A new House report lays out in damning detail the many anticompetitive practices of America’s tech giants, writes Tae Kim, and even offers some good ideas for controlling them. But these ideas, which include some breakups, won’t become law unless Democrats take over the White House and Senate, notes Joe Nocera.
Trump’s Risky Travels
Further Trump Finances Reading: Trump’s ability to repeatedly go deep into debt shows just how broken our capital-allocation system is. We keep throwing good money after bad. — Noah Smith
Further Reading
Bolstering Taiwan’s defenses and America’s regional alliances can prevent a disastrous war with China. — Bloomberg’s editorial board
Instead of focusing on shutdowns, Europe should make sure it has enough ICU capacity for a second Covid-19 wave. — Lionel Laurent
Benjamin Netanyahu’s mishandling of the coronavirus may be what finally sinks him politically. — Daniel Gordis
Voters are the kryptonite of the Republican Party, which is why it’s doing everything it can to discourage them. — Frank Wilkinson
Democrats’ high-minded explanations for Supreme Court packing don’t hold water. — Ramesh Ponnuru
Letting Congress vote from home would just lead to more polarization than we have now. — Noah Feldman
GE’s SEC probe is a reminder it still has many issues to put behind it. — Brooke Sutherland
ICYMI
Trump sure has been tweeting a lot, even for him.
The U.K. threatened to quit Brexit talks.
Meet the former Citi exec who helped build QAnon.
Kickers
A predecessor to this universe can still be observed today.
Why mirrors flip things horizontally but not vertically.
Grapefruit is a very weird fruit.
Meet the winner of Fat Bear Week, the aptly named 747.
Note: Please send salmon and complaints to Mark Gongloff at [email protected].
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This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Brooke Sample at [email protected]