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The Finance 202: Joe Biden’s tax plan would barely dent growth, conservative group finds

The Finance 202: Joe Biden’s tax plan would barely dent growth, conservative group finds

The analysis concludes Biden’s plan would raise $2.8 trillion over the next decade from higher taxes on businesses, corporations and the wealthiest households. Over that time, AEI projects the higher taxes would reduce economic growth by a relatively modest 0.16 percent.

The plan would “make the tax code more progressive,” AEI’s Kyle Pomerlau and Grant Seiter write. And after slightly crimping growth in its first decade, it would “reduce debt-to-GDP in the second decade, leading to slightly higher GDP. However, in the long term, his plan would not raise enough to stabilize debt-to-GDP and would lead to a 0.18 percent smaller economy.”

The macroeconomic drag the AEI model anticipates roughly aligns with other analyses from the Tax Foundation and the Penn Wharton Budget Model, Pomerlau notes. In other words, rolling back most of the Trump tax cuts wouldn’t bring about the economic Armageddon the Trump campaign has depicted.

Neither would it jack up taxes on every American. 

Vice President Pence made that claim during his debate with Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.),  Biden’s running mate, last week. The AEI analysis finds the top 1 percent of taxpayers would see a 14.2 percent hit to their after-tax income next year. The rest of the top 5 percent would face a small uptick in their burden. But everyone else would receive an after-tax income bump. The largest such increase, of 11.3 percent, would go to the bottom 10 percent, thanks to a temporary expansion of the child tax credit, according to AEI.

The analysis finds that starting in 2030, the Biden plan would impose “modest” tax hikes on the bottom 95 percent of earners, which it attributes to higher taxes on businesses. That would appear to violate Biden’s pledge not to raise taxes on anyone earning less than $400,000

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Where This Creative Finds Color Inspo For Her Home

Where This Creative Finds Color Inspo For Her Home

When Nikia Phoenix decided to move from her light and airy home in Los Angeles to Atlanta, she knew it would be a challenge to find just the right space to fit her spirit. “As a content creator, so much of my art would be created from my home, so it would need to be a place that reflected both comfort and artistic expression,” she said. What she found was a charming home with a ton of character that “just needed some love and a few good coats of paint.”

The model, creator, meditation and Reiki practitioner, and podcast host took her time filling her new home with items of personal significance (see: her grandfather’s denim jacket from the ’70s, a pine branch to remind her of her native South Carolina), natural textures, and beachy shades, with color playing a huge part in how she was going to make the space feel like home. “Color to me translates into peace and freedom of expression,” Niki said. “I am so heavily influenced by the color of a room. It sets my mood. Color lets me know if this is a room I can relax in or play in or even get down to business in. Color is a reflection of who we are.”

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U.S. consumers more optimistic about labor market, Fed survey finds

U.S. consumers more optimistic about labor market, Fed survey finds

(Reuters) – U.S. consumers in September became slightly less worried about losing their jobs and more optimistic about their earnings, though the effects of the economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic lingered, according to a survey released on Tuesday by the New York Federal Reserve.

a large stone statue in a park: FILE PHOTO: The Federal Reserve in Washington

© Reuters/Kevin Lamarque
FILE PHOTO: The Federal Reserve in Washington

The average perceived chance of becoming unemployed over the next year dropped to 16.6% in September from 18% in August but was still well above the pre-pandemic level of 13.8% in February. The drop was driven by an improvement in sentiment among people above age 60 and those with household incomes below $50,000.


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While the U.S. labor market continues to heal from the damage caused by the pandemic, data released by the Labor Department earlier this month shows the recovery is slowing. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 661,000 jobs in September, the smallest gain since the jobs recovery started in May.

The Fed survey suggested that some consumers think the worst of the pain in the labor market has passed. Expectations that the U.S. unemployment rate will be higher in a year dropped to an average 36.4% in September from 39.1% in August.

Consumers reported feeling better about their pay and their ability to spend. The median expectation for household income growth increased to 2.3% in September, up 0.1 percentage point from August but still below the 2019 average of 2.8%. Median expectations for household spending growth increased to 3.4% in September, from 3% in August, reaching the highest level since May 2019.

The survey of consumer expectations is a monthly poll conducted on a rotating panel of 1,300 households.

Median inflation expectations for the next year remained unchanged at 3% at the one-year horizon and expectations for the next three years dropped

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Life Insurance Customer Satisfaction Flatlines Despite Pandemic Fears, J.D. Power Finds

Life Insurance Customer Satisfaction Flatlines Despite Pandemic Fears, J.D. Power Finds

State Farm Ranks Highest in Individual Life Insurance; Nationwide, New York Life Tie for Highest in Annuity

Even as deaths associated with COVID-19 eclipse 200,000 in the United States, consumers don’t seem motivated to buy life insurance and life insurance customers are largely apathetic toward their insurer despite some standout performances. According to the J.D. Power 2020 U.S. Life Insurance Study,SM released today, a combination of infrequent client communications and a pervasive perception of high cost and transaction complexity have suppressed consumer interest and customer satisfaction with life insurance providers.

This press release features multimedia. View the full release here:

J.D. Power 2020 U.S. Life Insurance Study (Graphic: Business Wire)

“The life insurance industry has a significant perception problem because, in the throes of a pandemic, consumers naturally should be more engaged with their insurer—but they aren’t,” said Robert M. Lajdziak, senior consultant of insurance intelligence at J.D. Power. “We’ve been observing a trend for several years that customer satisfaction with life insurance companies starts declining the moment a policy is purchased and continues to decline throughout the relationship due to a lack of policyholder contact from most insurers. The fact that insurers and agents have not been able to reverse this trend during a historic global pandemic speaks to the depth of the challenge the industry faces. Life insurance providers need to dramatically ratchet up their client communications efforts and demonstrate their value to their end customers—not just to advisors and sales representatives.”

Following are some key findings of the 2020 study:

  • Life insurance customer satisfaction flat year over year: The overall customer satisfaction score for life insurance providers is 763 (on a 1,000-point scale), up just two points from 2019. Annuity customer satisfaction increases to 778, also just two points higher than in 2019.

  • Customer

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Financial Sector Finds In October 12 Select List

Financial Sector Finds In October 12 Select List

This week, we highlight some substantial movement in the Financials portion of the Select List. With another U.S. stimulus package on the horizon, it would be wise to keep a finger on the pulse of Index and Financial based ETFs.

Moving up two spots to claim the number one position this week is IAT, the iShares US Regional Banks ETF. Runner-up goes to Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF, KBWD, coming all the way up from the number five spot.

SPDR S&P Insurance ETF, KIE, fell one spot, coming in third this week. Invesco KBW Regional Banking ETF, KBWR, and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund, XLF, rounded out the top five, respectively.

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Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. Business relationship disclosure: I am an employee of ETF Global.

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