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Cash Flow Analysis: There Is An Opportunity For Automatic Data Processing To Improve Its Valuation (NASDAQ:ADP)

Cash Flow Analysis: There Is An Opportunity For Automatic Data Processing To Improve Its Valuation (NASDAQ:ADP)

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) was going strong into 2020 and they laid out plans in their February Investor Day of goals to have 5-6% top-line growth given their new product rollouts, large addressable market, and favorable operating environment. Both the business performance and stock price were hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic. Although FY20 revenue and margins were slightly higher compared to the previous year, the fourth quarter ended 6/30 was rough as revenue declined and margins compressed. To preserve cash, management put share repurchases on hold. These were reasons why the stock price crumbled from ~$180 per share to ~$140 per share before rebounding to where it is currently trading ~$160 per share. This article will explore ADP’s future cash flows and valuation to see if there is coverage for business operations, expansion, share buybacks, and dividends, and how ADP can expand its premium.

Revenue

ADP had some consistent revenue growth over the last several years. The real outlier was FY20 that was plagued by the pandemic.

Source: Seeking Alpha

The figures outlined in the FY20 Press Release show how the pandemic impacted the fourth quarter (the wavy highlighting was included for emphasis). Bookings were down, retention rate was down, and margins were down. A bright spot is that the business was doing well enough into the second half that they still generated revenue growth.

In February, ADP had its Innovation Day and it laid out its plans for long term of 5-6% per annum. This was to be achieved by continuing to penetrate the addressable market and rolling out products that they spent a bunch of capital on. 2020 was to be the year that these new products were supposed to be scaled and drive incremental revenue. The increase in sales from these products will not be as

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5 ways freelancers can increase cash flow while their income is down

5 ways freelancers can increase cash flow while their income is down

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  • Many freelancers have taken a financial hit since the start of the pandemic, and most government relief has run out.
  • If you need to increase your cash flow to save or pay bills, financial planner Ben Henry-Moreland recommends looking first at your spending to see where you can cut back.
  • Then, look into any government programs that are still available, such as the EIDL, and consider reducing your health insurance costs if you’re able.
  • You can also reach out to your network to get more work, and reduce your quarterly tax payments to the IRS if your income has gone down.
  • Get Personal Finance Insider’s free guide to financial planners »

If you’re a freelancer like I am, you know just how hard it can be to manage your money. For one thing, budgeting on an inconsistent income is like taming a beast in the wild. And  trying to save? That can feel like a lofty aspiration to spot Big Foot. Take into account the financial curveball that the pandemic has thrown at us, and it makes saving that much more challenging.

Now that some of the government-funded programs made available to self-employed folks because of COVID-19, namely the Paycheck Protection Program and expanded unemployment benefits, have lapsed, freelancers might feel even more squeezed financially. So how can you save — or even just meet your basic financial needs — despite all these hurdles?

Ben Henry-Moreland, a financial planner and founder of Freelance Financial Planning, has some advice.

Focus on your spending 

The only way to manage inconsistent income is

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